Pickle Real Estate

Reading Between the Head-Lines

Economist, Roubini: 20 Reasons why things are hopeless…

I have not made a formal tally of Roubini’s various lists of why the economy is going (and will continue to go) to hell in a handbasket, but recent sightings suggest his typical list is eight to twelve reasons.

However, in his latest missive, on the subject of why the consumer is toast, Roubini outdoes himself and comes up with twenty reasons. Oh, sorry, AT LEAST twenty reasons. I also don’t think I’ve ever read Roubini say his tally of woes was less than comprehensive.

In case you are new to this line of discussion, “falling consumption” in the absence of big time government countermeasures, equals “memorably bad downturn.” 

Is there some secret significance to this development? Numerologists and technical analysts are encouraged to weigh in. Personally, I think his list does boil down to a dozen or so reasons, but be sure to read down to his last point, where he draws his bottom line, a peak to trough fall in GDP of 10%. He needed 20 reasons to steel readers for his conclusion.

And I am really not making fun of Roubini. It is merely that because his messages are so consistently grim and have so far proven correct, one needs to find comic relief where one can.

Roubini’s List Here

November 19, 2008 Posted by | Stats | Leave a Comment

   

Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.